2003 TopCoder Open sponsord by Intel®

radeye's odds

Round 1 |  Round 2 |  Round 3 |  Round 4 |  Semifinals |  Finals

Beat the odds! These results of over 10,000,000 Monte Carlo simulations predict your chances to advance in the 2003 TopCoder Open sponsored by Intel® based only on your current TopCoder rating and volatility. Prove that you're underrated as you advance through the Tournament. Also remember that in any sufficiently large set of events, some will be of vanishingly small probability.

The model used here is a normal distribution with the mean of your rating and standard deviation of your volatility, assuming every advancing coder scores at least 0 points, and everyone competes in every round they are eligible for. This information is provided for entertainment purposes only.

By radeye
TopCoder Member

Probability of advancing to: Probability of finishing as:
Handle Rating Volatility Earnings Finals 4th 3rd 2nd Champ
SnapDragon 3285 349 $15 616.53 71.61 9.83 17.58 23.20 21.01
tomek 3450 357 $26 501.29 85.80 5.13 12.84 24.35 43.47
reid 3169 370 $9 469.64 53.33 11.53 15.80 15.17 10.83
ZorbaTHut 2881 348 $2 564.39 17.68 7.75 5.70 3.06 1.18
NGBronson 3005 322 $3 954.32 27.66 9.39 9.31 6.20 2.76
Yarin 3058 339 $5 565.65 36.57 10.16 12.12 9.44 4.86
bladerunner 2928 297 $2 551.36 12.49 3.82 4.20 3.03 1.44
bstanescu 2560 804 $3 036.85 19.16 11.34 3.13 2.25 2.44
venco 2699 358 $1 694.20 8.94 5.00 2.48 1.12 0.33
ambrose 2598 271 $1 247.93 1.56 0.91 0.46 0.15 0.03
DjinnKahn 2583 252 $1 256.03 2.25 1.48 0.62 0.14 0.02
snewman 3132 525 $8 862.84 47.45 14.11 11.75 10.40 11.18
tjq 2754 276 $1 537.01 7.21 3.93 2.31 0.80 0.16
mathijs 2461 536 $1 580.71 7.84 5.24 1.65 0.67 0.29
madking 2255 296 $1 179.32 0.16 0.12 0.03 0.00 0.00
dpecora 2175 311 $1 181.93 0.30 0.27 0.03 0.00 0.00