2003 TopCoder Open sponsord by Intel®

radeye's odds

Round 1 |  Round 2 |  Round 3 |  Round 4 |  Semifinals |  Finals

Beat the odds! These results of over 10,000,000 Monte Carlo simulations predict your chances to advance in the 2003 TopCoder Open sponsored by Intel® based only on your current TopCoder rating and volatility. Prove that you're underrated as you advance through the Tournament. Also remember that in any sufficiently large set of events, some will be of vanishingly small probability.

The model used here is a normal distribution with the mean of your rating and standard deviation of your volatility, assuming every advancing coder scores at least 0 points, and everyone competes in every round they are eligible for. This information is provided for entertainment purposes only.

By radeye
TopCoder Member

Probability of finishing as:
Handle Rating Volatility Earnings 4th 3rd 2nd Champ
tomek 3452 299 $35 088.26 1.95 9.43 28.37 60.26
Yarin 3117 341 $16 454.73 13.17 31.48 38.18 17.17
bstanescu 2704 810 $12 916.55 53.55 16.59 13.21 16.65
tjq 2888 342 $9 240.47 31.33 42.50 20.24 5.93